Factors predicting pathological upgrading after prostatectomy in patients with Gleason grade group 1 prostate cancer based on opinion‑matched biopsy specimens

  • Authors:
    • Yuki Maruyama
    • Takuya Sadahira
    • Motoo Araki
    • Yosuke Mitsui
    • Koichiro Wada
    • Acosta Gonzalez Herik Rodrigo
    • Kazuaki Munetomo
    • Yasuyuki Kobayashi
    • Masami Watanabe
    • Hiroyuki Yanai
    • Toyohiko Watanabe
    • Yasutomo Nasu
  • View Affiliations

  • Published online on: February 10, 2020     https://doi.org/10.3892/mco.2020.1996
  • Pages: 384-389
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Abstract

The present study investigated the concordance between Gleason scores assigned to prostate biopsy specimens by outside pathologists and a urological pathology expert, and determined the risk of upgrading between opinion‑matched Gleason grade group (GGG) 1 biopsy specimens and radical prostatectomy specimens. Between January 2012 and May 2018, 733 patients underwent robot‑assisted radical prostatectomy. Patients whose original biopsy specimens from outside hospitals were reviewed by a urological pathology expert Okayama University Hospital were included. Patients who had received neoadjuvant hormonal therapy were excluded. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of upgrading among GGG 1 diagnoses. A total of 403 patients were included in the present study. Agreement in GGG between initial and second‑opinion diagnoses was present in 256 cases (63.5%). Although opinion‑matched cases improved concordance between biopsy and prostatectomy specimen GGG compared with single‑opinion cases (initial, 35.2%; second‑opinion, 36.5%; matched, 41.4%), 71% (56/79) of cases classified as GGG 1 were upgraded after prostatectomy. Multivariate analysis revealed that prostate‑specific antigen density and Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2 score were significant predictors of upgrading (odds ratio, 1.10; P=0.01; and odds ratio, 1.88; P=0.03, respectively). In conclusion, the GGG concordance rate between needle‑core biopsy and radical prostatectomy specimens was higher in opinion‑matched cases; however, 71% of opinion‑matched GGG1 cases were upgraded after robot‑assisted radical prostatectomy. Urologists should propose treatment strategies or further biopsy rather than active surveillance for patients with GGG1 and a high PSAD and/or PI‑RADS score.

Introduction

The Gleason scoring system is an essential tool for predicting tumor aggressiveness and affects selection of a prostate cancer (PC) treatment strategy (1). However, the Gleason score (GS) often differs between needle-core biopsy (NCB) and radical prostatectomy (RP) specimens (2). Such discordance occurs in 28-76% of patients, and is associated with many factors, including the number and length of biopsy cores, and more significantly, pathologist misreading (2,3). To reduce these inconsistencies, several groups have recommended the adoption of mandatory second-opinion review by specialized urologic pathologists when patients are referred from other clinics (4-6). Second opinions change the GS of some specimens, resulting in the alteration of therapeutic management strategies (5-7). As a mandatory review program at our institution, outside specimens are routinely reviewed by a specialized urologic pathologist before treatment.

Recently, a consensus conference revised PC pathological grading into five grade groups using a system that offers the highest prognostic discrimination (1,8). This new grading system readjusted the grading scale by designating GS 3+3 to grade 1, and more accurately reflects tumor behavior by differentiating between GS 3+4 (grade 2) and GS 4+3 (grade 3) and between GS 4+4, 3+5, and 5+3 (grade 4) and GS 4+4, 5+4, 5+5 (grade 5). Of these prognostic groups, patients are most commonly assigned to Gleason grade group (GGG) 1, which is most sensitive to discordance with respect to treatment strategy (9). This occurs because more than 40% of men with low-risk prostate cancers (PCs) now receive active surveillance as initial treatment (10,11). Therefore, upgrading of GGG exposes patients at an increased risk of disease progression.

Despite previous reports of upgrading predictors, the results were affected by pathologist misreading (11). This problem can be regarded as resolved when the initial and second pathologist opinions reach a concordant diagnosis. These studies compared the diagnostic accuracy between original and second opinions of RP specimens; however, the agreement between RP specimen and NCB specimen diagnoses by two pathologists has not been previously evaluated. In this study, we selected patients for whom a consensus diagnosis was achieved based on NCB specimens, and identified predictors of upgrading in cases diagnosed as GGG1 prior to robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP).

Patients and methods

Patients

We retrospectively reviewed 733 patients with PC who had undergone RARP between October 2010 and May 2018 at our institution. NCB slides prepared elsewhere were routinely reviewed by a urological pathology expert in our hospital. We excluded 130 patients without outside NCB pathology evaluation, 162 patients without second-opinion evaluation, 14 patients without available GGG (outside specimens with inadequate grading, i.e., Gleason 1+2), and 24 patients who received neoadjuvant hormonal therapy. Finally, 403 patients were included in this study. Patient age, body mass index, prostate volume, initial prostate specific antigen (PSA) level, prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD), number of biopsy cores, and positive cores in both initial, and second-opinion diagnoses were reviewed.

Evaluation of Gleason score

The evaluations of NCB by a urological pathology expert in our hospital was performed before RARP. Evaluations of RP specimens were also performed by same urological pathology expert without knowledge of the previous NCB results. In both NCB and RP specimens, GS was assigned to each lesion based on the sum of their primary and secondary tumor patterns, and the highest GS was adapted among the positive lesions. These RP specimens were formalin fixed, sectioned at 4 mm intervals from apex to base, paraffin embedded, and stained with hematoxylin and eosin. The GS (both outside and second opinion) for each NCB specimen was compared to the GS for corresponding RP specimens, and a GS discrepancy was defined as a difference in GGG category. The five GGG categories were: GGG1, GS 3+3; GGG2, GS 3+4=7; GGG3, GS 4+3=7; GGG4, GS 8; and GGG5, GS 9 or 10 (1,8).

This retrospective study had formal ethical approval from the Okayama University Institutional Review Board (registration no. 1004) prior to study initiation. All patients provided written informed consent for use of their clinical records.

Statistical analysis

To determine true predictors of upgrading among GGG1 cases, we selected patients who were diagnosed as GGG1 by both the initial and second-opinion pathologists. Patients who could not be evaluated using Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2 (PI-RADS) score were excluded from this predictor analysis. PI-RADS scores were assigned by a radiologist in our hospital with no knowledge of the pathological results. To evaluate the association between clinical characteristics and upgrade in GGG1 patients, Fisher's exact test was used for categorical variables, and the Mann-Whitney U-test was used for continuous variables. The continuous variables are shown as the median and interquartile range (IQR). Predictors of upgrading were analyzed using logistic regression analysis, including age, body mass index, prostate volume, initial PSA, PSAD, PI-RADS score, number of positive cores in both initial and second-opinion diagnoses, and percentage of positive cores in initial and second-opinion diagnoses. Variables with a P-value <0.05 in univariate analysis were entered into multivariable analysis. The P-value were two-sided. A P-value <0.05 indicated statistical significance for all analyses. All statistical analyses were performed using EZR version 1.36, a graphical user interface for R (12).

Results

Patient characteristics

Of the 733 cases that underwent RARP at our institution during the study period, 403 patients for which outside opinions, second opinions, and RP reports were available were included in this analysis. Transrectal ultrasound-guided biopsy (TRUS-GB) was performed for diagnosis; no patients underwent magnetic resonance imaging-guided biopsy (MRI-GB) or saturation template biopsy. Clinical characteristics of patients are summarized in Table I. The median GGG was 2 [interquartile range (IQR), 1-4] for first-opinion NCB specimens, whereas the median GGG for second-opinion and RP specimens was 3 (IQR, 2-4). Table II shows the distribution of GGGs among first-opinion, second-opinion, and RP specimens. One case was diagnosed as high-grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (HGPIN) after RARP, which was diagnosed as GGG4 by the initial pathologist and GGG2 by the second pathologist.

Table I

Demographic and clinical characteristics of the whole cohort.

Table I

Demographic and clinical characteristics of the whole cohort.

VariableCases (N=403)
Age, median (IQR)68 (63-72)
BMI, median (IQR)23.7 (21.9-33.3)
Prostate volume, median (IQR)27 (20-37)
Initial PSA, median (IQR)7.1 (5.1-10.4)
PSAD, median (IQR)0.26 (0.18-0.43)
Clinical T stage, n (%) 
     T1a2(1)
     T1b0 (0)
     T1c87(22)
     T2a182(44)
     T2b41(10)
     T2c68(17)
     T3a20(5)
     T3b3(1)
     T3c0 (0)
Number of biopsy core, median (IQR)11 (10-14)
Positive core of 1st opinion, median (IQR)3 (2-5)
Positive core of 2nd opinion, median (IQR)3 (2-5)

[i] BMI, body mass index; IQR, interquartile range; PSA, prostate specific antigen; PSAD, prostate specific antigen density.

Table II

Distribution of GGG among needle-core biopsy specimens.

Table II

Distribution of GGG among needle-core biopsy specimens.

Gleason gradeFirst, n (%)Second, n (%)Pathology, n (%)
Atypical0 (0)0 (0)1 (0)
GGG1 (≤3+3)106(27)98(24)33(8)
GGG2 (3+4)102(25)87(21)153(37)
GGG3 (4+3)61(15)61(15)101(25)
GGG4(8)90(22)109(28)43(11)
GGG5 (9,10)44(11)48(12)72(19)

[i] GGG, Gleason grade group.

Discrepancies in GGG

Discrepancies in GGG between initial and second opinions are shown in Table SI. Of the 403 cases, 147 cases (36.5%) had a discrepancy; among these, 89 cases (60.5%) were upgraded and 58 cases (39.5%) were downgraded after second review. GGG1 diagnoses had the highest rate of agreement (75%), while only 50% agreement was achieved among GGG3 diagnoses between the initial and second opinions. Discrepancies in GGG between first-opinion and RP specimens and between second-opinion and RP specimens are shown in Tables SII and SIII. The agreement rate between GGG was 35.2% (142 of 403) between first-opinion and RP specimens and 36.5% (147 of 403) between second-opinion and RP specimens. The first-opinion diagnoses had a larger upgrading rate [41.2% (166 of 403)] than second-opinion diagnoses did [36.0% (145 of 403)].

We also investigated GGG concordance between RP specimens and NCB specimens for which a consensus was reached by the first and second pathologists (Table III). The concordance rate was 41.4% (106 of 256); of the 256 cases, 97 cases (37.9%) were upgraded, and 53 cases (20.7%) were downgraded upon RP specimen analysis. Notably, 70.9% (56 of 79) of GGG1 cases were upgraded on RP specimen analysis, 40 (71.4%) were upgraded to GGG2, 9 (16.1%) were upgraded to GGG3, 4 (7.1%) were upgraded to GGG4, and 3 (5.4%) were upgraded to GGG5.

Table III

GGG differences between NCB (1st=2nd) and radical prostatectomy specimen.

Table III

GGG differences between NCB (1st=2nd) and radical prostatectomy specimen.

 Pathology GGG, n (%) 
1st=2nd GGG NCB GGGGGG1GGG2GGG3GGG4GGG5Total, n
GGG1 (≤3+3)23(29)40(51)9(11)4(5)3(4)79
GGG2 (3+4)1(2)40(68)13(22)1(2)4(6)59
GGG3 (4+3)0 (0)12(40)12(40)5(17)1(3)30
GGG4(8)0 (0)6(10)23(39)13(22)17(29)59
GGG5 (9,10)0 (0)4(14)5(17)2(7)18(62)29
Total24102622543256

[i] GGG, Gleason grade group; NCB, needle core biopsy.

Predictors of upgrading

To determine predictors of upgrading among GGG1 diagnoses, we divided GGG1 cases for which the GGG was agreed upon by two pathologists into upgraded (n=53) and non-upgraded (n=23) subgroups. Three cases for which the PI-RADS score could not be evaluated were excluded from this analysis. The clinical characteristics of each subgroup are shown in Table SIV. In univariate logistic regression analysis, PSAD and PI-RADS score were identified as statistically significant predictors (P=0.009 and P=0.017, respectively) and were entered into the multivariate logistic regression model. Multivariate analysis revealed that these two variables were independent predictors of upgrading of GGG1 after RARP (PSAD: Odds ratio, 1.10; P=0.010; PI-RADS score: Odds ratio, 1.88; P=0.026) (Table IV).

Table IV

Univariate and multivariate analysis of risk factors for upgrading from Gleason grade group 1.

Table IV

Univariate and multivariate analysis of risk factors for upgrading from Gleason grade group 1.

 Univariate Multivariate 
Risk factorsOdds ratio95% CIP-valueOdds ratio95% CIP-value
Age (years)1.060.98-1.150.126   
BMI (kg/m²)1.050.83-1.320.692   
Prostate volume (ml)0.990.96-1.020.641   
Initial PSA (ng/ml)1.160.97-1.390.113   
PSAD (ng/ml/cm3)1.101.02-1.180.0091.101.02-1.190.010
Clinical T stage (1-3)1.290.51-3.270.592   
Number of positive cores in 1st opinion0.810.61-1.060.129   
Number of positive cores in 2nd opinion0.820.62-1.090.176   
% of positive core in 1st opinion0.990.96-1.010.332   
% of positive core in 2nd opinion0.980.96-1.010.293   
PI-RADS score (1-5)1.871.12-3.110.0171.881.08-3.270.026

[i] BMI, body mass index; PI-RADS, the prostate imaging reporting and data system; PSA, prostate specific antigen; PSAD, prostate specific antigen density.

Discussion

The GGG concordance rate between NCB and RP specimens improved by 6.2% following a second opinion. However, 71% of opinion-matched GGG1 cases were upgraded after RARP. Higher PSAD and higher PI-RADS score were independent risk factors for upgrading of GGG1 cases.

GS is the most important parameter for selection of therapeutic management strategies for PC (1,13). Therefore, accuracy of GS determination is critical. Previous studies showed that mandatory second-opinion pathology review by specialized urologic pathologists alters management strategies and improves care in some cases (2,14,15). A major discrepancy between GS assigned by general pathologists and specialized pathologists was observed in 15-41% of random prostate biopsy specimens (4,15,16). These reports suggested that general pathologists significantly undergraded GS compared with urologic pathologists (16). The adoption of second-opinion review improves the accuracy of GS between NCB and RP specimens in 5-24% of cases (2,17). Most of these disagreements involved a single-digit change in GS, and it was estimated that treatment recommendations changed in 9-26% of these cases (18). In the present study, the concordance between original and second-opinion GGG was similar to that observed in previous studies (63.5%), and a tendency to upgrade GS after second review was also observed. However, the GS accuracy was improved in only a small number of cases (35.2-36.5%) after second review compared to previous studies, resulting in relatively lower accuracy upon evaluation of RP specimens (mean, 51.4%; range, 28-76%) (2).

The improvement in accuracy was small upon second review due to the fact that the accuracy of Gleason scoring by general pathologists has improved over time. A previous report showed that the concordance between GS assigned by the original pathologist and a second pathologist was significantly higher in the second half of their 13-year study period (16). Although the accuracy of assigning GS is improving in general and among urological pathologists, discrepancies remain a challenge. Grey areas exist between adjacent grades in the Gleason system, particularly between GS 3 and GS 4; thus, interpretation of the border criteria sometimes differs between pathologists. One study revealed that such variation in interpretation of criteria yields a lower rate of agreement: Only 9.9% of 71 specimens had total agreement among three pathologists, and the rate of total disagreement was 26.8% (19). Another pathological factor contributing to discrepancy in Gleason scoring is that the International Society of Urological Pathology modified GS revised the definition of Gleason pattern 3 to be very rigorous. Thus, intelligibility of the new standards for the criteria defining Gleason patterns 3 and 4 may influence the upgrading rate (20). In addition, evaluation bias, which is well-documented in the literature, occurs when the GS is based on a single biopsy fragment rather than a consensus of all fragments (21).

In the present study, we selected NCB specimens for which the diagnosis was agreed upon by both the original pathologist and a second pathologist, and investigated the accuracy of these diagnoses compared with those of RP specimens. Although the diagnostic accuracy of opinion-matched cases was 6.2% higher than that of single-opinion cases, the GGG of 58.6% of opinion-matched cases was discordant from that assigned based on RP specimen analysis. Moreover, the second NCB specimen and RP specimen reviews were performed by the same urological pathology expert in our hospital using the same interpretation of criteria. Thus, the inaccuracy might have been caused by sampling error rather than misreading. The multifocal and heterogeneous character of PC makes it difficult to adequately sample the prostate gland (22). A significant statistical sampling variation occurs with the use of a systematic number of biopsy cores in prostate glands that fluctuate in volume; hence, increasing the number of cores improves both PC sampling and accuracy (2). Conversely, the small number of biopsy cores and short length of them might induce overgrading of GS in NCB specimens; 53 (21%) cases were downgraded after RP despite the opinion-matched pathology.

The use of MRI-GB has been rapidly increasing worldwide as an important tool to improve diagnostic accuracy in PC (22,23). Previous studies reported the GS concordance between MRI-GB and RP specimens to be 57-90%, which is higher than that of TRUS-GB (22,23). MRI-GB also changes the distribution of GGG in men with newly diagnosed PC toward diagnosis of higher-risk disease (24). The cancer detection rate is similar between MRI- and TRUS-GB; however, targeted biopsy allows diagnosis of 30% more high-risk cancers than systemic biopsy and 17% fewer low-risk cancers, notably 29% fewer GGG1 cancers (24). Considering these findings, the present results, which included no MRI-GB cases, are understandable; 71% of opinion-matched GGG1 cases diagnosed by NCB specimen were upgraded after RARP. Xu et al (23) similarly reported that 74% (17 of 23) of TRUS-GB GGG1 cases were upgraded following analysis of RP specimens; in contrast, only 20% (2 of 10) of MRI-GB cases were upgraded. To enhance diagnostic performance, the role of prostate MRI has been increasing (25). Multi-parametric MRI had a specificity of 0.88 and sensitivity of 0.74 for identifying PC, and high PI-RADS scores predicted more than 80% of cases with significant disease (26,27). The present results suggest that adoption of multi-parametric MRI is more important than mandatory second-opinion pathology review.

The ability of PSAD to predict biopsy outcome has also been described in previous studies (27,28). Higher PSAD is correlated with higher Gleason score and tumor volume, resulting in shorter progression-free survival following RP (27). A higher PSAD associated with a low GS suggests that TRUS-GB has not hit tumor tissue in many cases. In these cases, template biopsy should be considered for patients with high PSAD. Corcoran et al (29) reported that PSAD was the strongest predictor of GS upgrading between initial biopsy and RP specimen analysis. PSAD was identified as an independent predictor for upgrading in patients with GGG1 based on consensus NCB specimens in the present study, as was PI-RADS score. These two factors therefore are useful not only for predicting biopsy outcomes but also for suggesting clinically significant and aggressive PCs.

The present study had several limitations. First, we included only cases that underwent RARP. Cases that were diagnosed as benign or very low-risk PC were not referred to our institution. Such selection bias may increase the potential for GGG upgrading. Second, we did not have a unified method of biopsy. The number of cores and biopsy location differed by originating institution; furthermore, the length of cancer in positive cores was not analyzed in this study. Third, the urologic pathologist in our hospital performed the Gleason scoring for both NCB review and RP specimens. Therefore, an interpretation bias might have influenced the agreement between initial and subsequent diagnoses.

In conclusion, the concordance rate between NCB and RP specimen Gleason scoring was improved in opinion-matched cases. However, 71% of opinion-matched GGG1 cases were upgraded after RARP. Urologists would suggest therapeutic intervention or further biopsy for patients with GGG1 and a high PSAD and/or PI-RADS score.

Supplementary Material

GGG differences between first and second opinion.
GGG differences between first opinion of needle core biopsy and radical prostatectomy specimen.
GGG differences between second opinion of needle core biopsy and radical prostatectomy specimens.
Differences in demographic and clinical characteristics between upgrade and non.upgrade groups of Gleason grade group 1.

Acknowledgements

Not applicable.

Funding

No funding was received.

Availability of data and materials

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Authors' contributions

YMa wrote the manuscript, and made substantial contribution to the acquisition of data and data analysis. TS made substantial contributions to the conception and design of the present study, and the interpretation of data. MA, YMi, KW, AGHR and KM made substantial contributions to the analysis and interpretation of data in the present study. YK, MW, HY, TW and YN made substantial contributions to the conception and design of the study, the critical point of discussion and the completion of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Ethics approval and consent to participate

This retrospective study had formal ethical approval from the Okayama University Institutional Review Board (registration no. 1004) prior to study initiation. All patients provided written informed consent for the use of their clinical records. All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.

Patient consent for publication

Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

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April-2020
Volume 12 Issue 4

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Maruyama Y, Sadahira T, Araki M, Mitsui Y, Wada K, Rodrigo AG, Munetomo K, Kobayashi Y, Watanabe M, Yanai H, Yanai H, et al: Factors predicting pathological upgrading after prostatectomy in patients with Gleason grade group 1 prostate cancer based on opinion‑matched biopsy specimens. Mol Clin Oncol 12: 384-389, 2020.
APA
Maruyama, Y., Sadahira, T., Araki, M., Mitsui, Y., Wada, K., Rodrigo, A.G. ... Nasu, Y. (2020). Factors predicting pathological upgrading after prostatectomy in patients with Gleason grade group 1 prostate cancer based on opinion‑matched biopsy specimens. Molecular and Clinical Oncology, 12, 384-389. https://doi.org/10.3892/mco.2020.1996
MLA
Maruyama, Y., Sadahira, T., Araki, M., Mitsui, Y., Wada, K., Rodrigo, A. G., Munetomo, K., Kobayashi, Y., Watanabe, M., Yanai, H., Watanabe, T., Nasu, Y."Factors predicting pathological upgrading after prostatectomy in patients with Gleason grade group 1 prostate cancer based on opinion‑matched biopsy specimens". Molecular and Clinical Oncology 12.4 (2020): 384-389.
Chicago
Maruyama, Y., Sadahira, T., Araki, M., Mitsui, Y., Wada, K., Rodrigo, A. G., Munetomo, K., Kobayashi, Y., Watanabe, M., Yanai, H., Watanabe, T., Nasu, Y."Factors predicting pathological upgrading after prostatectomy in patients with Gleason grade group 1 prostate cancer based on opinion‑matched biopsy specimens". Molecular and Clinical Oncology 12, no. 4 (2020): 384-389. https://doi.org/10.3892/mco.2020.1996