Association of blood glucose and lipid levels with complete blood count indices to establish a regression model
- Authors:
- Published online on: January 30, 2017 https://doi.org/10.3892/br.2017.852
- Pages: 339-345
Abstract
Introduction
Hyperglycemia and hyperlipidemia, characterized by elevated blood glucose (GLU) and lipid levels, are two of the most common public health issues worldwide in modern society (1). Hyperglycemia is the main symptom of type I and type II diabetes, and the incidence of diabetes has been rapidly increasing in recent years worldwide. It has been estimated that there was 382 million people with type II diabetes mellitus in 2013, while the prevalence of diabetes is estimated to increase by 55% in 2035, reaching a total number of 592 million (1). Dyslipidemia, which is defined by elevated total cholesterol (CHO), triglyceride (TG) and/or low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels, and non-optimal levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), is particularly prevalent worldwide (2–4).
Persistent hyperglycemia and hyperlipidemia damages the eyes, kidneys, feet and heart and causes a series of cardiovascular diseases, such as stroke, coronary heart disease and peripheral arterial disease (5–8). According to an estimated 4 million mortalities each year, dyslipidemia is considered to be a major modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease worldwide (9). Therefore, hyperglycemia and hyperlipidemia have presented a serious social problem.
The examination of blood GLU and lipid levels is routinely performed for early diagnosis of hyperglycemia and hyperlipidemia. When compared with healthy weight individuals, overweight individuals exhibit a greater risk for hyperglycemia, hyperlipidemia, and other diseases, such as high blood pressure, diabetes mellitus and coronary heart disease (10–12). Thus, monitoring blood GLU and lipid levels is popular and necessary, particularly in overweight individuals.
Blood routine examination also termed complete blood count (CBC) is an analysis of three major types of cells: Red blood cells (RBCs), white blood cells (WBCs) and platelets. It is a common blood test used in clinical and routine health examinations, which is beneficial for early diagnoses of serial diseases, such as anemia and infections. Furthermore, there are benefits of identifying the association between these indices, not only experienced by overweight people, but also in healthy individuals (13). However, there are critical knowledge gaps on the correlation of blood GLU and lipid levels with CBC test results. In the current study, the association between these indices in healthy and overweight individuals was investigated.
Materials and methods
Subjects and ethics
Individuals with a history of disease, such as hematopathy, angiocardiopathy, hepatopathy, nephrosis or pulmonary disease were not recruited for the present study. A total of 877 subjects were recruited between September and December 2015, comprising 456 healthy subjects (147 male and 308 female) and 421 overweight subjects (305 male and 116 female), with mean ages of 39.70±10.89 and 45.74±11.19 years, respectively. Their heights and weights were measured using a stadiometer and electronic weighing scale, respectively. Body mass index (BMI) was then calculated as follows: BMI=weight/height2 to divide the subjects into the healthy (BMI=18–25.0 kg/m2) and overweight (BMI=25.0–30 kg/m2) groups according to the criterion recommended by the World Health Organization (14). The data (anonymous) for this study was provided by the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University (Wenzhou, China). The study was approved by the hospital ethics committee and conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. All participants provided informed consent for the analysis of their clinical data.
Blood examination
To determine the blood GLU and lipid levels, a total of 3 ml fasting venous blood was collected from the subjects into separation gel tubes and separated at 3,466 × g for 10 min. The plasma was analyzed in a Hitachi 705/717 biochemical instrument (Hitachi, Ltd., Tokyo, Japan) at 20°C. The fasting blood GLU, TG, CHO, HDL and LDL levels were then determined (Table I). To establish the CBC indices, 2 ml venous blood was collected into heparinized tubes and determined using a BC-5500 Automatic Blood Cell Analyzer (Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd., Shenzhen, China). A total of 18 CBC indices were included in the current study; their detailed descriptions are presented in Table I.
Table I.Characteristics and variance analysis of blood glucose, lipid and CBC indices in healthy (n=456) and overweight (n=421) subjects. |
Statistical analysis
Prior to correlation analysis, the distribution characteristics of the blood indices data were analyzed using the Shapiro-Wilk and homogeneity of variances tests. The differences between healthy and overweight subjects were analyzed by nonparametric test when the indices were abnormally distributed, and the correlations between TG, CHO HDL, LDL and GLU, and CBC indices were analyzed by bivariate correlation.
When a correlation between blood GLU and lipid levels and CBC indices was identified, multiple linear regression (MLR) analysis was then conducted using a stepwise method. All CBC indices were subjected to MLR analyses to identify the relationship between TG, CHO and GLU. One-way ANOVA was used to analyze the difference and P<0.05 was considered to indicate a statistically significant difference. The correlation of the regression residual was determined by the Durbin-Watson value. All statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS software (version 17.0; SPSS, Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).
Results
Characteristics of healthy and overweight individuals
A total of 456 healthy subjects (147 male and 308 female) and 421 overweight subjects (305 male and 116 female) were included in the current study (mean age, 39.70±10.89 and 45.74±11.19 years, respectively). The BMIs were 19.66±5.59 and 26.39±1.92 for the healthy and overweight groups, respectively. As the results of the Shapiro-Wilk test showed that the indices were abnormally distributed in the two different groups, the blood GLU, blood lipid and CBC indices data from the two groups were analyzed using a nonparametric test. The variance analysis indicated that there were significant differences between the healthy and overweight subjects; the TG, CHO, HDL, LDL, GLU and the majority of the CBC indices were altered. The level of TG, CHO, LDL, and GLU increased (P<0.01), while the HDL level decreased (P<0.01) in the overweight subjects (Table I).
Correlation analysis of glucose and lipid levels in healthy and overweight subjects
The results indicated that TG, LDL and HDL were strongly correlated with the CBC indices of the healthy subjects (Table II). There were 9 indices of CBC correlated with TG, 6 indices of CBC correlated with LDL, and 11 indices of CBC correlated with HDL. Compared with TG (the most important index for hyperlipidemia), GLU and CHO only demonstrated three and two relevant CBC indices, respectively.
This correlation almost did not change in the overweight subjects (Table III). There were 8 indices of CBC correlated with TG, 5 indices of CBC correlated with LDL, and 11 indices of CBC correlated with HDL. In addition, the relevant CBC indices in the overweight subjects were almost the same as in the healthy subjects. These findings indicated that the correlation of TG, HDL, LDL, CHO and GLU with the CBC indices did not change according to weight.
MLR analysis
According to the results of correlation analysis, there was strong correlation of TG, LDL, HDL, CHO and GLU with the CBC indices, and scatter diagrams demonstrated their linear correlation, which indicated that MLR could be used in the study. As there were various indices associated with each other, in order to evaluate independent CBC indices correlated with TG, LDL, HDL, CHO and GLU, MLR analysis was conducted using a stepwise method.
Regression models were generated for TG, LDL, HDL and CHO (Table IV), but not GLU, where no regression model was generated in the healthy subjects according to the stepwise method. The regression models of TG, LDL, HDL, and CHO all demonstrated statistical significance in the two groups (P<0.001). The regression models of healthy subjects exhibited greater multiple correlation coefficient (R), determinate coefficient (R2) and F values when compared with the overweight subjects with regard to TG, LDL, HDL and CHO. These results indicated that the regression models of the healthy subjects were better than those for the overweight subjects.
In these four types of regression model, the multiple Rs of the HDL regression model were 0.351 and 0.308 in the healthy and overweight subjects, respectively, which were greater than those of the TG, LDL and CHO regression models. In addition, the R2 and F values of HDL regression model were higher than TG, LDL and CHO regression models, and the regression standardized residual demonstrated a normal distribution (Fig. 1). However, the R of TG was 0.319 in the healthy subjects, and was decreased to 0.189 in the overweight subjects, and the regression standardized residual was similar to a skewed normal distribution (Fig. 2). Therefore, HDL was identified as the most suitable index for linear regression when CBC indices were selected as independent variables.
Discussion
CBC is the most ubiquitous diagnostic parameter in the clinical setting, and is routinely analyzed to evaluate the health of patients (15). Generally, the CBC test provides important information regarding three major types of cells in the blood, RBCs, WBCs and platelets. Other indices, such as absolute value of monocyte, hematocrit, absolute value of leukomonocyte, mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration, hemoglobin, PLC and thrombocytocrit, are all obtained from these three types of cell. These measurements are usually performed to test for blood disease, infection and many other disorders, which are associated with RBCs, WBCs and platelets. For example, inflammation, leukemia, bone marrow failure and immunodeficiency are diagnosed by irregular WBC counts and their differentials (16).
In the current study, the association of CBC with blood GLU and lipid levels in overweight and healthy subjects was analyzed. In addition, the correlation of CBC indices with TG, LDL, HDL, CHO and GLU was analyzed (Tables II and III). However, a limitation regarding the CBC indices is that there were may be multiple co-linear associations between these CBC indices.
For further analysis, MLR was used to evaluate the correlation of TG, LDL, HDL, CHO and GLU with CBC indices. MLR models the association between two or more explanatory variables and a response variable by fitting a linear equation (17). This differs from an artificial intelligence algorithm, which commonly requires complicated programming (18). MLR more easily provides regression models, which are linearly associated with their parameters.
The model summary (Table IV) demonstrated that the strongest correlation with the CBC indices was HDL, followed by TG, LDL, CHO and GLU, which was consistent with the results of the correlation analysis. However, almost the same associated CBC indices were identified between TG and HDL (Tables II and III). The multiple R and R2 were decreased markedly (Table IV). In addition, the regression standardized residual was not normally distributed in TG, which indicates that TG is influenced by increasing weight, whereas HDL is not. Therefore, HDL is the most stable and correlated index within the CBC indices. According to the results of the present study, this prediction model may be developed in further studies, such as back-propagation artificial neural network (19) and extreme learning machine (10) models, and support vector machine (20) to improved predictive capabilities.
In conclusion, significant differences in GLU, lipid and CBC indices were observed between healthy and overweight subjects. The correlation and MLR analyses indicated that there were strong correlations between TG, LDL, HDL and CHO, but not GLU, for which no linear regression model was generated. Among these indices, HDL was identified as the index that was most strongly correlated with the CBC indices. Thus, the CBC test is considered to be helpful in the diagnosis of hyperlipidemia.
Acknowledgements
The present study was supported by the National Science and Technology Major Project (grant no. 2012ZX10002004) and the Chinese High Tech Research & Development (863) Program (grant no. 2013AA020102).
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